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International Edition
May 22, 2013 Last Updated: 2:42:PM EDT

In the Debate About the Art Bubble, the Dealer Is the Missing Piece

In the Debate About the Art Bubble, the Dealer Is the Missing Piece

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Photo by Ralph Orlowski/Getty Images
Jeff Koons poses in front of "Antiquity 3" (2011)
by Shane Ferro
Published: January 8, 2013
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This past Sunday's New York Times Review section included a multi-faceted dialogue about the contemporary art market, initiated by something of a tirade against the current state of the market by the somewhat obscure Barcelona-based dealer William Cole. Times readers were then invited to weigh in, and respondents included a number of artists, academics, and even art-world heavyweights like Eric Shiner, the director of the Andy Warhol Museum. The discussion was not without value — it included some fascinating insight into the art historical importance given to today’s auction and gallery stars. However, it was not remotely related to the realities of the contemporary art market which it purported to tackle.

The Times was perhaps trying to delve into the very fascinating price/value conflation at the top of the art world, but the writers it solicited instead wrote about topics they were more comfortable with, like art history and media-bashing. The vast majority of respondents to Cole’s original polemic — including Cole himself — completely miss the fact that buying and selling art made after 1990 (to some extent, art after 1950) has almost nothing to do with art history, and even less to do with contemporary critical reception. 

 

The notion from Cole's opening salvo that the media is the main force to blame in the hyping of contemporary art superstars is, frankly, absurd. Often, it’s quite the opposite. Art critics generally despise market darlings like Jeff Koons, Julian Schnabel, and Christopher Wool. They have been complaining for years, if not decades, that their work has little to no influence on the market. Who are these journalists who “uncritically gush about ‘blue-chip investments’ that many knowledgeable observers consider outright junk,” according to Cole? Any art reporter worth reading maintains at least a somewhat skeptical outlook on the market, despite writing about whichever works happen to get sold.

The key point that everyone in the dialogue misses is the importance of the dealer in today's contemporary art market. As such discussions tend to do, the Times debate completely skips the “market” part of the art market dialogue. Buying and selling contemporary art at the highest level currently has a lot more to do with capitalism than it does cultural value. Unless you understand that, you aren’t actually talking about the art market at all.

The big dealers — Gagosian, David Zwirner, Pace, etc. — and the deep-pocketed collecting families like the Mugrabis and the Nahmads — have almost complete control over the markets of contemporary art's most expensive artists. Furthermore, the cultural cachet of having done business at one of the world’s most famous galleries is part of what you pay for when you buy a work by one of those galleries’ artists. That value will likely drop in the long run — but it’s currently a market force continuing to push prices upward. High prices for contemporary artists are entirely dependent on the ability of the best dealers to continue to convince their wealthy clients that higher prices are worth paying, and to dish out the cash themselves at times to keep everything going when demand is lean. As long as they can continue to do that, the state of the market is unlikely to change.

A much better version of this debate played out across three different publications a few weeks ago after Marion Maneker, editor of Art Market Monitor, took former Newsweek critic Blake Gopnik to task for missing the point of the art market in a piece he wrote for Newsweek on the art market bubble after Art Basel Miami Beach. Maneker pointed out that the art market has as much to do with the players as it does the art itself. “An auction isn’t an event where works of art are weighed for their worth, it’s a place where buyers vote — sometimes raising their hands,” he wrote.

Reuters blogger Felix Salmon later defended Gopnik. Salmon, being a finance blogger, tackles the economics of contemporary art as a market without flinching. He disagrees with Maneker, however, about its stability. Rather, he argues that it is fundamentally out-of-whack, and will, eventually, come crashing down:

The point that I think Maneker misses — and that he consistently misses in his attacks on people who are “complaining about the art market” — is that this particular market is qualitatively different from what you would consider a healthy market to be, not least because the prices are quantitatively completely bonkers.

This question — whether paying wild sums for contemporary art signifies a healthy market or not — is where the real debate is. It is the issue that demands a dialogue in in the paper of record. The real market forces warping the contemporary art market into a parody of itself need to be talked about. Is it a bubble or a new reality? What role does increasing inequality play in this astronomic price inflation? These questions matter. The value of these artists in the long term will, of course, work itself out later.

Market News, Contemporary Art Market, Art Market Analysis
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by Seth Edenbaum on January 11, 2013 at 4:01pm

I'll add one more comment. I have no argument with anything lcgarllery wrote, but it deserves expansion. He's describing a small, elite market populated by self-interested parties who share also a common enthusiasm for art as such, if specifically the kind of art that can be bought and resold for profit. The 19th and 20th century avant-gardes saw themselves as separating themselves from the past, and from common opinion, but there was the same sense that the makers and audience for the new work were part of the same group. That's both a market model and a social model, and it can work.
But it's a problem now that the "avant-garde" and "respectable" art communities have collapsed into one another. There no tension between starving artists and rich patrons when starving artists are happily currying favor. The result of this is not that new art necessarily is banal, though much of it is, but all of it is weaker.

The model for fine art now is high style and haute couture, as fashion or outré anti-fashion. That's less an attack on the art than on claims to importance. Art objects made today have nowhere near the importance of objects made 400 years ago, because objects themselves are less important. Art journals are closer now to Vogue than to the New York Review of Books or LRB, but there's still the pretense. Jim Hoberman as a film critic is a critic of visual art.
http://blogs.artinfo.com/moviejournal/2013/01/09/gangster-squad-i-never-...
The art he reviews has a market model, and one on a much larger scale than the market for fine art, which means that he doesn't hang out much with Hollywood producers. His social world is the world of the audience for art and for some degree also the its makers. The funders are elsewhere. Meanwhile art critics who are not openly style critics become parodies. The most important intellectual defender of Gerhard Richter is a Marxist only the art world could produce: who writes catalogue essays for boutiques in 57th St.

Kipling put the problem well. "Every one knows every one else far too well for business purposes."

I have brief against Koons. If I want to bemoan the state of the world, it's all there. He makes art out of it. But he's not Bernini. To talk seriously about Koons you have to talk about Warhol, and to talk seriously about Warhol you have to talk about Hitchcock. To talk seriously about Gursky, you have to talk about Zhang Yimou's opening of the Beijing Olympics. To talk about visual art today you have to be able to talk about Cronenberg's Cosmopolis. Will anything by Matthew Barney outlast "Terminator II"? I doubt it, and I doubt it should.

There's good art in the galleries these days, but most of it isn't made in the US. The Chinese boom reminds me of NY in the 80's, when Larry Gagosian posed for Robert Longo: the dark poetry of capitalism. But Bladerunner came out in 1982, and it will outlast most if not all of the art of that decade. I think recent Chinese work is better too, but I am not going to get my investment advice from Vogue or Elle Decor. A writer for the Economist cited the failure of a Sherrie Levine to crack a million at auction as a sign of trouble. The fact that she chose Levine's work as a model of anything shows how little she understands either art or markets. There's more than one bubble operating here.

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by stefan haus on January 09, 2013 at 8:01am

i've written about art & money before: http://stefanhauswords.blogspot.com/2012/04/art-and-and-art-and-hm-money...

If we don't realize what money and art actually are, we'll turn into rabbits. Our perverted essence made Capital possible. Capital makes art impossible. Capital makes us impossible. We need to make art possible. Art needs to make us possible. Not as slaves and ignorant balloons but as human beings. Art is a production of true and good life. Capital is the death of true and good life. Art is not Capital.

Producing and selling art may be amusing and exciting, but producing and selling your life isn't.

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by Seth Edenbaum on January 09, 2013 at 1:01am

Maneker thinks spending 30 million on an artwork is like sending 30 million on a private jet. With a mind like his I wonder if he was working at Bear Stearns.

A $30 million jet, as a luxury item -Warren Buffett's “indefensible”- fitted (let's just say) for 8 people with private bedrooms, a movie theater and rec. room, can be refitted for commercial use as a non-luxury item. A $30 million bauble that cost $300,000 to make is priced based on the desire of a small number of people, a very limited fan base. The question is: how long can it last?

Maneker is happy to stipulate that the price has no relation to long term cultural importance. "The art market isn’t a measure of art historical value or worth." But the bet in speculating on art is that other people in the long run will agree. If they don't you end up losing money, or your kids do. Nahmad is given credit for a great sense of timing, in unloading first Marie Laurencin[!!] and now late Picasso. I doubt he paid that much to pick them up. What's the rule? If someone's selling you should ask why.

Felix Salmon agrees with Gopnik: "The market for art is unlike any other, because it’s built on some notion of true, underlying value."

The market for fine art built on "a notion", and claims of seriousness of purpose. But Gerome, Bouguereau and Winterhalter were vewy, vewy seweous pepew. The stars of the Salon were every bit as serious as the Refusés. I witnessed a somewhat faded art star reminded gently of this fact. He didn't respond.

I don't care about the money, I'm only interested in art. So for me the question is Hirst or Tarantino? Who's the biggest badass white boy on the block?

One year Damien Hirst has a show entitled "No Sense of Absolute Corruption" The next year contradicts himself by covering a skull in diamonds guaranteed not to be blood diamonds. They should have been guaranteed blood diamonds, with certificates of authenticity and the names of dead children engraved on each facet. And all Tarantino did was make a movie with a psychotic Nazi as the hero. "Wait for the cream" Das ist die ewige Kunst.

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by lcgallery on January 08, 2013 at 11:01am

First of all, you can't have it both ways: it is a market; it’s not a market. On the other hand, an true professional would say [about any market]: it’s not an art market but a market of art. And let’s admit it: the art media has printed article after article about what they are fed about investment aspects of the art market without understanding or questioning it, which both annoys and amuses me as a true investment professional, an arbitrageur, among other things. In a recent one, in this magazine, comparing the volume of art auctions with the S&P price index, I pointed out that it was comparing apples to oranges, an unattributed line that was used in an article a few days later by this publication questioning the first article. The problem is that art media people, in general, and even most financial writers have no real experience with the real world of finance and investment, and those of us who do would never share that expertise with the general public. Indeed, the art media lets itself be manipulated constantly by a few people. For example, before every major auction the art media prints total garbage, direct from the auction houses, about the record-breaking prices that they expect in the next auction: no question about the veracity of those claims, which, in the end, usually turn out to be nothing more than hype. And while you defend the art media community by saying that they abhor Koons & co., as I have pointed out in recent discussions with a number of editors, you all print the same things. There is little real explorations of that larger art market that you allude to, which is the reason given by a few art market writers who recently quit their posts. As someone who has been collecting art since the 1950’s and who’s made a business of it over 3 decades, which includes the Japan bubble of the late-1980’s/early-1990’s, I have seen the whole market: from the pickers to the flea markets to trash/treasure shops to galleries, which is much larger than the auction markets and the few major dealers we read about. While there is always much more to say than I have time to write [or the inclination], let me end with a comment to your ending. Any time there is a bubble in a market, and we can trace market bubbles at least as far back as the Tulip bubble of the 1600’s [yes, even tulips were a major market for a short time], everyone believes there is no bubble and those, who think there is, are crazy. Indeed, the Dow Theory of investment marks the final bubble stage of a market as the time that the media and the general public are euphoric about the market. The professional understands that those things that have already been discovered by the media and the public are no longer the places to find real investment potential, anyway. But, then, again, it's not an art market but a market of art.

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by sferro on January 08, 2013 at 3:01pm

Thanks for your comment, and I appreciate the feedback. I think in some ways you are right on, but in others don't give me enough credit, or misconstrue my ideas with the ones I am arguing against.

First of all: you can't have it both ways. Either the art finance professionals need to share what they know with the art media, or they need to stop complaining that the art media doesn't know enough about the financial reality of the art market. It is the nature of the art world to clam up, because it runs on information asymmetries. I get that as a business strategy, and keeping what you know to yourself is how you make your money. However, you cannot then fault the media for not knowing what you know and thus only reporting on the information that is made public. Furthermore, if you know something to be blatantly false, we love controversy here at artinfo. I welcome tips at sferro@artinfo.com.

Secondly, I am not sure that I take your point about art market v. market of art. As a grammarian, they seem to say roughly the same thing. And, furthermore, I think I'm fairly clear in the above piece about wanting to emphasize the market aspect of the art market. In fact, the entire piece is about the NYT comments NOT taking the market part of the art market seriously enough.

Thirdly, you refer to this publication a couple of times in your response, but don't provide links or bylines, so I can't be certain to which articles you are referring. Note that "this publication" is an amalgamation of several different writers coming from different backgrounds and with different outlooks on art, so it's very possible that two articles were contradictory — as different writers should have different opinions. This analysis is mine and mine alone, not necessarily the overarching editorial opinion of ARTINFO. I, for one, certainly try to identify market hype as such. See these articles for reference:

http://www.artinfo.com/news/story/808322/the-stagnation-of-the-middle-ma...

http://www.artinfo.com/news/story/756213/why-art-is-a-sensible-investmen...

Last, I certainly hope that I don't come across as believing there cannot be a bubble in the art market, because that is certainly not true. My point is that we (journalists, but also the gallerists, artists, and curators with real skin in the game) need to be talking about the underlying mechanics of the art market — the real financial issues going on — before it is too late, rather than prattling on about long-term art historical value, which is largely irrelevant in the short-term to the market and the livelihoods of those who pay rent by working in art.

— Shane Ferro

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